The Top Former NATO Analyst presents his discovery of government-backed genocide in Donbass and how this sparked a war in Eastern Ukraine. This is the first time that information on this topic has been published to a Western audience.
A factual overview of how genocidal government practices in Donetsk led to a war. The story looks at the cascading effect these events had on the geopolitics of Eastern Europe, as well as its economic and social impact on Ukrainian society.
Answers to these questions are not only crucial for understanding Russia's future foreign policy, but they also give valuable insights into one of the great unravelling geopolitical crises of our time
Jacques Baud is a former colonel of the Swiss strategic intelligence, who specialized on Eastern European countries and served as the Chief of Intelligence for the Swiss military.
He was born in 1955 in Geneva, Switzerland. He studied at the University of Geneva and graduated with a degree in economics.
His career started as an officer in the Swiss army, where he specialized on Eastern European countries. Later he worked for the United Nations as head of Policy and Doctrine and served as Chief of Intelligence for the Swiss military.
In his essay entitled, “The Military Situation In The Ukraine”, Baud explained the immediate situation that sparked Russia’s involvement in the Ukrainian Civil War. He wrote about the Ukrainian revolution and how it lead to Russia’s annexation of Crimea.
“On 17 February, President Joe Biden announced that Russia would attack Ukraine in the next few days. How did he know this? It is a mystery. But since the 16th, the artillery shelling of the population of Donbass had increased dramatically, as the daily reports of the OSCE observers show,” Jacques Baud.
“Naturally, neither the media, nor the European Union, nor NATO, nor any Western government reacted or intervened. It would be said later that this was Russian disinformation. In fact, it seems that the European Union and some countries have deliberately kept silent about the massacre of the Donbass population, knowing that this would provoke a Russian intervention.” Jacques Baud.
The conditions in Eastern Ukraine were ripe for conflict. The Ukrainian government was unstable and corrupt, and Russia had been supporting their separatist movement for years. But other conditions implemented by Western powers also laid the groundwork for an eventual military response by Russia, Baud explains.
After the Soros backed coup of Ukraines's government in 2014, Ukraine actively participated in genocide by comissioning radical groups such as the Azov Battalion to carry out mass murder, massacres, tortures, and rapes of the people of Donbass; who speak Russian.
“These militias had been operating in the Donbass since 2014, with Western support. Even if one can argue about the term ‘Nazi,’ the fact remains that these militias are violent, convey a nauseating ideology and are virulently anti-Semitic…[and] are composed of fanatical and brutal individuals,” Jacques Baud.
The tension between Russia and Ukraine escalated when Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky issued a decree in March 2021 to recapture Crimea, which was annexed by Russia in 2014.
“At the same time, there were reports of sabotage in the Donbass. On 18 January, Donbass fighters intercepted saboteurs, who spoke Polish and were equipped with Western equipment and who were seeking to create chemical incidents in Gorlivka. They could have been CIA mercenaries, led or ‘advised’ by Americans and composed of Ukrainian or European fighters, to carry out sabotage actions in the Donbass Republics,” Jacques Baud.
In the end, these provocations ultimately led Russian President Vladimir Putin to recognize the sovereignty and indepedence of the Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic in February 2022.
“We show compassion for the Ukrainian people and the two million refugees. That is fine. But if we had had a modicum of compassion for the same number of refugees from the Ukrainian populations of Donbass massacred by their own government and who sought refuge in Russia for eight years, none of this would probably have happened,” Jacques Baud.
Finally, Jacques Baud was confident that Russia would succeeed in its attempt to capture Ukraine.
“In the end, the price will be high, but Vladimir Putin will likely achieve the goals he set for himself. We have pushed him into the arms of China. His ties with Beijing have solidified,” Baud wrote. “China is emerging as a mediator in the conflict. The Americans have to ask Venezuela and Iran for oil to get out of the energy impasse they have put themselves in — and the United States has to piteously backtrack on the sanctions imposed on its enemies.”